Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics

Collins, M., Minobe, S., Barreiro, M., Bordoni, S., Kaspi, Y., Kuwano-Yoshida, A., Keenlyside, N., Manzini, E., O'Reilly, C. H., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Xie, S.-P. and Zolina, O. (2018) Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8. pp. 101-108. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8

Abstract/Summary

Dynamical processes in the atmosphere and ocean are central to determining the large-scale drivers of regional climate change, yet their predictive understanding is poor. Here, we identify three frontline challenges in climate dynamics where significant progress can be made to inform adaptation: response of storms, blocks and jet streams to external forcing; basin-to-basin and tropical–extratropical teleconnections; and the development of non-linear predictive theory. We highlight opportunities and techniques for making immediate progress in these areas, which critically involve the development of high-resolution coupled model simulations, partial coupling or pacemaker experiments, as well as the development and use of dynamical metrics and exploitation of hierarchies of models.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/76320
Identification Number/DOI	10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > NCAS Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Publisher	Nature Publishing Group
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