An evaluation of the correlation between open solar flux and total solar irradiance

Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172 (2002) An evaluation of the correlation between open solar flux and total solar irradiance. Astronomy and Astrophysics, 382 (2). pp. 678-687. ISSN 0004-6361 doi: 10.1051/0004-6361:20011666

Abstract/Summary

The correlation between the coronal source flux F_{S} and the total solar irradiance I_{TS} is re-evaluated in the light of an additional 5 years' data from the rising phase of solar cycle 23 and also by using cosmic ray fluxes detected at Earth. Tests on monthly averages show that the correlation with F_{S} deduced from the interplanetary magnetic field (correlation coefficient, r = 0.62) is highly significant (99.999%), but that there is insufficient data for the higher correlation with annual means (r = 0.80) to be considered significant. Anti-correlations between I_{TS} and cosmic ray fluxes are found in monthly data for all stations and geomagnetic rigidity cut-offs (r ranging from −0.63 to −0.74) and these have significance levels between 85% and 98%. In all cases, the t is poorest for the earliest data (i.e., prior to 1982). Excluding these data improves the anticorrelation with cosmic rays to r = −0:93 for one-year running means. Both the interplanetary magnetic field data and the cosmic ray fluxes indicate that the total solar irradiance lags behind the open solar flux with a delay that is estimated to have an optimum value of 2.8 months (and is within the uncertainty range 0.8-8.0 months at the 90% level).

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/38710
Identification Number/DOI	10.1051/0004-6361:20011666
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	No Reading authors. Back catalogue items Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Publisher	EDP Sciences
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