Items where Division is "Walker Institute" and Year is 2014

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Number of items: 56.

Alghabari, F., Lukac, M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Jones, H. E. and Gooding, M. J. (2014) Effect of Rht alleles on the tolerance of wheat grain set to high temperature and drought stress during booting and anthesis. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, 200 (1). pp. 36-45. ISSN 1439-037X doi: 10.1111/jac.12038

Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Climate change: dichotomy of drought and deluge. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 700-701. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2243

Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (15). pp. 5588-5597. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060962

Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Arnell, N. W. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Bodai, T., Lucarini, V. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Lunkeit, F. and Boschi, R. (2014) Global instability in the Ghil--Sellers model. Climate Dynamics, 44 (11-12). pp. 3361-3381. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2206-5

Brown, S., Cornforth, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Boyd, E., Standley, S., Allen, M., Clement, K., Gonzalo, A., Erwin, G., Michelle, S., Haseeb, I. and Maliha, S., Brown, S., ed. (2014) Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) scoping study: Annex 3 - Early warning system and risk assessment case studies. Climate, Environment, Infrastructure and Livelihoods Professional Evidence and Applied Knowledge Services (CEIL PEAKS) programme. Technical Report. Evidence on Demand with the assistance of the UK Department for International Development (DFID) pp53. doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.june2014.brown

Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2014) An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain. University of Reading.

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2014) Assessing the impacts of climate change on river flows in England using the UKCP09 climate change projections. Journal of Hydrology, 519. pp. 1723-1738. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.008

Dankers, R., Arnell, N. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) First look at changes in flood hazard in the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3257-3261. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122 (3). pp. 363-372. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Evans, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270, Mariwah, S. and Barima Antwi, K., (2014) Cashew cultivation, access to land and food security in Brong-Ahafo Region, Ghana: Preventing the intergenerational transmission of poverty. Research Note. 6. Report. Walker Institute, University of Reading, Reading, UK.

Fischer, E. M., Sedláček, J., Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Knutti, R. (2014) Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (23). pp. 8554-8562. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062018

Futter, M. N., Erlandsson, M. A., Butterfield, D., Whitehead, P. G., Oni, S. K. and Wade, A. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2014) PERSiST: a flexible rainfall-runoff modelling toolkit for use with the INCA family of models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18 (2). pp. 855-873. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-18-855-2014

Gallavotti, G. and Lucarini, V. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2014) Equivalence of non-equilibrium ensembles and representation of friction in turbulent flows: the Lorenz 96 model. Journal of Statistical Physics, 156 (6). pp. 1027-1065. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: 10.1007/s10955-014-1051-6

Godbold, D. L., Tullus, A., Kupper, P., Sober, J., Ostonen, I., Smith, A., Godbold, J. A. and Lukac, M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2014) Elevated atmospheric CO2 and humidity delay leaf fall in Betula pendula, but not in Alnus glutinosa or Populus tremula × tremuloides. Annals of Forest Science, 71 (8). pp. 831-842. ISSN 1286-4560 doi: 10.1007/s13595-014-0382-4

Greatrex, H., Grimes, D. and Wheeler, T. (2014) Advances in the stochastic modelling of satellite-derived rainfall estimates using a sparse calibration dataset. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15. pp. 1810-1831. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0145.1

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Bowes, M. J., Gozzard, E., Newman, J. R., Loewenthal, M., Palmer-Felgate, E. J., Jarvie, H. P. and Wade, A. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2014) The water quality of the River Enborne, UK: observations from high-frequency Monitoring in a rural, lowland river system. Water, 6 (1). pp. 150-180. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: 10.3390/w6010150

Hasson, S., Lucarini, V. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Khan, M. R., Petitta, M., Bolch, T. and Gioli, G. (2014) Early 21st century snow cover state over the western river basins of the Indus River system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18 (10). pp. 4077-4100. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-18-4077-2014

Hasson, S., Lucarini, V. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Pascale, S. and Böhner, J. (2014) Seasonality of the hydrological cycle in major South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 67-87. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-5-67-2014

Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Anderson, B., Diffenbaugh, N., Mahlstein, I., Betts, R., Hegerl, G., Joshi, M., Knutti, R., McNeall, D., Solomon, S., Sutton, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Syktus, J. and Vecchi, G. (2014) Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates. Nature, 511 (7507). E3-E5. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/nature13523

Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Joshi, M. and Frame, D. (2014) Wetter then drier in some tropical areas. Nature Climate Change, 4 (8). pp. 646-647. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2299

Heap, M. J., Culham, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Lenoir, J. and Gavilán, R. G. (2014) Can the Iberian floristic diversity withstand near-future climate change? Open Journal of Ecology, 4 (17). pp. 1089-1101. ISSN 2162-1985 doi: 10.4236/oje.2014.417089

Huber, V., Schellnhuber, H. J., Arnell, N. W. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Frieler, K., Friend, A. D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J. and Warszawski, L. (2014) Climate impact research: beyond patchwork. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (2). pp. 399-408. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-5-399-2014

Jackson, L.C., Schaller, N., Smith, R.S. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Palmer, M.D. and Vellinga, M. (2014) Response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to a reversal of greenhouse gas increases. Climate Dynamics, 42 (11-12). pp. 3323-3336. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1842-5

James, R., Otto, F., Parker, H., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Mitchell, D. and Allen, M. (2014) Characterising loss and damage from climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4 (11). pp. 938-939. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2411

Jimenez Cisneros, B. E., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Doll, P., Jiang, T. and Mwakalila, S. S. (2014) Freshwater resources. In: Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Gimma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R. and White, L. L. (eds.) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 229-269.

Journet, E., Balkanski, Y. and Harrison, S. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) A new data set of soil mineralogy for dust-cycle modeling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14 (8). pp. 3801-3816. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-14-3801-2014

King, A. D., Klingaman, N. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Jourdain, N. C. and Maher, P. (2014) Extreme rainfall variability in Australia: Patterns, drivers and predictability. Journal of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 6035-6050. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

Klingaman, N. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2014) Using a case-study approach to improve the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2491-2505. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2314

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Brooks, M. and Milton, S. (2014) Comparing tropical precipitation simulated by the Met Office NWP and climate models with satellite observations. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (1). pp. 200-214. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-13-082.1

Lorenz, M. M., Alkhafadji, L., Stringano, E., Nilsson, S., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Uden, P. (2014) Relationship between condensed tannin structures and their ability to precipitate feed proteins in the rumen. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 94 (5). pp. 963-968. ISSN 0022-5142 doi: 10.1002/jsfa.6344

Lucarini, V. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Blender, R., Herbert, C., Ragone, F., Pascale, S. and Wouters, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 (2014) Mathematical and physical ideas for climate science. Reviews of Geophysics, 52 (4). pp. 809-859. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1002/2013RG000446

Lynch, K. J., Brayshaw, D. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2014) Verification of European subseasonal wind speed forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2978-2990. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00341.1

Maidment, R. I. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D., Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Tarnavsky, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R. and Black, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2014) The 30-year TAMSAT African rainfall climatology and time-series (TARCAT) dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (18). pp. 10619-10644. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD021927

Martin Calvo, M., Prentice, I. C. and Harrison, S. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) Climate versus carbon dioxide controls on biomass burning: a model analysis of the glacial–interglacial contrast. Biogeosciences, 11 (21). pp. 6017-6027. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: 10.5194/bg-11-6017-2014

Mason, D. C. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002

Pagano, T. C., Wood, A. W., Ramos, M.-H., Cloke, H. L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Clark, M. P., Cranston, M., Kavetski, D., Mathevet, T., Sorooshian, S. and Verkade, J. S. (2014) Challenges of operational river forecasting. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15 (4). pp. 1692-1707. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0188.1

Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3

Perez-Sanz, A., Li, G., González-Sampériz, P. and Harrison, S. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) Evaluation of modern and mid-Holocene seasonal precipitation of the Mediterranean and northern Africa in the CMIP5 simulations. Climate of the Past, 10 (2). pp. 551-568. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-10-551-2014

Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3262-3267. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222473110

Ritson, J. P., Bell, M., Graham, N. J.D., Templeton, M. R., Brazier, R. E., Verhoef, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Freeman, C. and Clark, J. M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824 (2014) Simulated climate change impact on summer dissolved organic carbon release from peat and surface vegetation: implications for drinking water treatment. Water Research, 67. pp. 66-76. ISSN 0043-1354 doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2014.09.015

Ritson, J.P., Graham, N.J.D., Templeton, M.R., Clark, J.M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Gough, R. and Freeman, C. (2014) The impact of climate change on the treatability of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in upland water supplies: A UK perspective. Science of the Total Environment, 473-474. pp. 714-730. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.12.095

Sampson, C. C., Fewtrell, T. J., O'Loughlin, F., Pappenberger, F., Bates, P., Freer, J. E. and Cloke, H. L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a flood catastrophe model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18. pp. 2305-2324. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014

Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Colon-Gonzalez, F. J., Gosling, S. N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L. and Kabat, P. (2014) Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3245-3250. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222460110

Semenov, M.A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M.J. (2014) Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science, 59 (3). pp. 245-256. ISSN 0733-5210 doi: 10.1016/j.jcs.2014.01.006

Shahgedanova, M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Nosenko, G., Kutuzov, S., Rototaeva, O. and Khromova, T. (2014) Deglaciation of the Caucasus Mountains, Russia/Georgia, in the 21st century observed with ASTER satellite imagery and aerial photograpy. The Cryosphere, 8 (6). pp. 2367-2379. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-8-2367-2014

Skliris, N., Marsh, R., Josey, S. A., Good, S. A., Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Salinity changes in the world ocean since 1950 in relation to changing surface freshwater fluxes. Climate Dynamics, 43 (3-4). pp. 709-736. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2131-7

Skuras, D., Wade, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Psaltopoulos, D., Whitehead, P., Kontolainou, A. and Erlandsson, M. (2014) An interdisciplinary modelling approach asessing the cost-effectiveness of agri-environmental measures on reducing nutrient concentration to WFD thresholds under climate change: the case of the Louros catchment. Operational Research, 14 (2). pp. 205-224. ISSN 1109-2858 doi: 10.1007/s12351-014-0158-5

Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2014) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9693

Stephens, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Cloke, H. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: 10.1111/geoj.12103

Tarnavsky, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Grimes, D., Maidment, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Black, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Allan, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Stringer, M., Chadwick, R. and Kayitakire, F. (2014) Extension of the TAMSAT satellite-based rainfall monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (12). pp. 2805-2822. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1

Wheeler, T. (2014) A changing climate for international development. Development in Practice, 24 (4). pp. 465-466. ISSN 0961-4524 doi: 10.1080/09614524.2014.907774

Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., Murphy, C., O’Connor, P. and Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) The statistical downscaling model-decision centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications. Climate Research, 61 (3). pp. 259-276. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr01254

Ye, J., He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Manful, D. Y. and Li, Z. (2014) Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1615-1628. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2243

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