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Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Feng, X. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Toumi, R. (2025) High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8 (1). 32. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00919-y

Datti, A. D., Zeng, G., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oo, K. T. and Chen, C. (2025) A Review of the arctic-West African monsoon nexus: How arctic sea ice decline influences monsoon system. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156 (1). 9. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-024-05255-4

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sun, W. and Zhang, L. (2024) The profound influence of the North Atlantic Ocean on Northeast Asia: a comprehensive multi-model study. Atmospheric Science Letters. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.1280

Collins, M., Beverley, J. D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Catto, J., McCrystall, M., Dittus, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Freychet, N., Grist, J., Hegerl, G. C., Holland, P. R., Holmes, C., Josey, S. A., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lo, E., Lord, N., Mitchell, D., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Priestley, M. D. K., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Senior, N., Sexton, D., Shuckburgh, E., Siegert, S., Simpson, C., Stephenson, D. B., Sutton, R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thompson, V., Wilcox, L. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Woollings, T. (2024) Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2. 1340323. ISSN 2813-6330 doi: 10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., KC, S., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Crétat, J. (2024) Internally driven variability of the Angola Low is the main source of uncertainty for the future changes in southern African precipitation. JGR Atmospheres, 129 (15). e2024JD041255. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD041255

Tamoffo, A. T., Weber, T., Cabos, W., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Cook, K. H., Sein, D. V., Dosio, A., Klutse, N. A. B., Akintomide, A. A. and Jacob, D. (2024) West African monsoon system's responses to global ocean-regional atmosphere coupling. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0749.1

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Chadwick, R., Wilcox, L. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2024) An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (5). 054048. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad42b8

Mohino, E., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Mignot, J., Diakhaté, M., Donat, M., Roberts, C. D. and Doblas-Reyes, F. (2024) Impact of Atlantic multidecadal variability on rainfall intensity distribution and timing of the West African monsoon. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (1). pp. 15-40. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-15-15-2024

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M., Mignot, J., Mohino, E., Pohl, B. and Zappa, G. (2023) Storylines of Sahel precipitation change: roles of the North Atlantic and Euro-Mediterranean temperature. JGR Atmospheres, 128 (16). e2023JD038712. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2023JD038712

Marcheggiani, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2022GL102071

O'Reilly, C. H. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, M., Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, D. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Y. (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dittus, A. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Wilcox, L. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Earth's Future, 11 (2). e2022EF002995. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2022EF002995

Hodson, D. L. R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Bretonnière, P.-A., Cassou, C., Davini, P., Klingaman, N. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Martín-Rey, M., Moine, M.-P., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C. D., Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Seddon, J. and Senan, R. (2022) Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 59. pp. 805-836. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wilcox, L. J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2022) Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty. Journal of Climate, 35 (8). pp. 2305-2326. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0412.1

Dieppois, B., Capotondi, A., Pohl, B., Pan Chun, K., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 and Eden, J. (2021) ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1). 212. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: 10.1038/s43247-021-00285-6

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, N. J. and Turner, A. G. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65

Deroubaix, A., Labuhn, I., Camredon, M., Gaubert, B., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Popp, M., Ramarohetra, J., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Silvers, L. G. and Siour, G. (2021) Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12. 5197. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25504-8

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Hodson, D. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2021) Role of the Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating East Asian climate. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 381-398. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05477-y

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Pohl, B. and Gaetani, M. (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Gaetani, M., Mohino, E. and Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) Future evolution of the Sahel precipitation zonal contrast in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 55 (9-10). pp. 2801-2821. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05417-w

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Chevuturi, A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Cook, P., Klingaman, N. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. E. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Role of atmospheric horizontal resolution in simulating tropical and subtropical South American precipitation in HadGEM3-GC31. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10). pp. 4749-4771. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-4749-2020

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wainwright, C. M. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Sidibe, M. and Akinsanola, A. A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0192-0082 (2020) Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1385-1401. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0

Dunstone, N., Smith, D., Yeager, S., Danabasoglu, G., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hermanson, L., Eade, R., Ineson, S., Robson, J. I. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A. and Ren, H.-L. (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Foltz, G. R., Brandt, P., Richter, I., Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., Hernandez, F., Dengkker, M., Rodrigues, R. R., Schmidt, J. O., Yu, L., Lefevre, N., Cotrim Da Cunha, L., McPhaden, M. J., Araujo, M., Karstensen, J., Hahn, J., Martin-Rey, M., Patricola, C. M., Poli, P., Zuidema, P., Hummels, R., Perez, R. C., Hatje, V., Lubbecke, J. F., Polo, I., Lumpkin, R., Bourles, B., Asuquo, F. E., Lehodey, P., Conchon, A., Chang, P., Dandin, P., Schmid, C., Sutton, A., Giordani, H., Xue, Y., Illig, S., Losada, T., Grodsky, S. A., Gasparin, F., Lee, T., Mohino, E., Nobre, P., Wanninkhof, R., Keenlyside, N., Garcon, B., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Nnamchi, H. C., Drevillon, M., Storto, A., Remy, E., Lazar, A., Speich, S., Goes, M., Dorrington, T., Johns, W. E., Moum, J. N., Robinson, C., Perruche, C., de Souza, R. B., Gaye, A. T., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Castellanos, P., Benson, N. U., Hounkonnou, M. N., Trotte Duha, J., Laxenaire, R. and Reul, N. (2019) The tropical Atlantic observing system. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6 (206). ISSN 2296-7745 doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00206

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hodson, D. L. R. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Klingaman, N. P. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2019) Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the global monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1765-1775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2018GL080903

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oudar, T. and Sanchez-Gomez, E. (2019) Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 52 (9-10). pp. 5947-5964. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4488-5

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Dunstone, N. (2018) A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia? Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 473-491. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3935-z

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Coquart, L., Maisonnave, E., Moine, M.-P., Terray, L. and Valcke, S. (2017) Decadal prediction skill using a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49. pp. 3527-3550. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3528-x

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Moine, M.-P., Terray, L. and Valcke, S. (2017) Quantifying the impact of early 21st century volcanic eruptions on global-mean surface temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (5). 054010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6cb5

Pohl, B., Macron, C. and Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2017) Fewer rainy days and more extreme rainfall by the end of the century in Southern Africa. Scientific Reports, 7. 46466. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: 10.1038/srep46466

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E. and Boé, J. (2017) On the range of future Sahel precipitation projections and the selection of a sub-sample of CMIP5 models for impact studies. Climate Dynamics, 48 (7-8). pp. 2751-2770. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3236-y

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Pohl, B., Robson, J. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Dong, B. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2017) Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M. and Roucou, P. (2016) On the projected increase of Sahel rainfall during the late rainy season. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (13). pp. 4373-4383. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.4638

Fontaine, B., Janicot, S. and Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2013) Recent changes in air temperature, heat waves occurrences, and atmospheric circulation in Northern Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (15). pp. 8536-8552. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50667

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Roucou, P. and Fontaine, B. (2013) Mid-century effects of climate change on African monsoon dynamics using the A1B emission scenario. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (4). pp. 881-896. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3476

Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Fontaine, B. and Roucou, P. (2012) Expected future changes in the African monsoon between 2030 and 2070 using some CMIP3 and CMIP5 models under a medium-low RCP scenario. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D16). D16111. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017510

Fontaine, B., Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Gaetani, M. and Roucou, P. (2011) Climate adjustments over the African-Indian monsoon regions accompanying Mediterranean Sea thermal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116 (D23). D23122. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016273

Fontaine, B., Roucou, P. and Monerie, P.-A. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2011) Changes in the African monsoon region at medium-term time horizon using 12 AR4 coupled models under the A1b emissions scenario. Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 (1). pp. 83-88. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.321

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