Propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation through the Maritime Continent and scale interaction with the diurnal cycle of precipitation

Lists

Download

Preview

Peatman et al 2014.pdf - Published Version (21MB) | Preview

Tools

Peatman, S. C., Matthews, A. J. and Stevens, D. P. (2014) Propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation through the Maritime Continent and scale interaction with the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (680). pp. 814-825. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2161

Abstract/Summary

The convectively active part of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) propagates eastward through the warm pool, from the Indian Ocean through the Maritime Continent (the Indonesian archipelago) to the western Pacific. The Maritime Continent's complex topography means the exact nature of the MJO propagation through this region is unclear. Model simulations of the MJO are often poor over the region, leading to local errors in latent heat release and global errors in medium-range weather prediction and climate simulation. Using 14 northern winters of TRMM satellite data it is shown that, where the mean diurnal cycle of precipitation is strong, 80% of the MJO precipitation signal in the Maritime Continent is accounted for by changes in the amplitude of the diurnal cycle. Additionally, the relationship between outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) and precipitation is weakened here, such that OLR is no longer a reliable proxy for precipitation. The canonical view of the MJO as the smooth eastward propagation of a large-scale precipitation envelope also breaks down over the islands of the Maritime Continent. Instead, a vanguard of precipitation (anomalies of 2.5 mm day^-1 over 10^6 km^2) jumps ahead of the main body by approximately 6 days or 2000 km. Hence, there can be enhanced precipitation over Sumatra, Borneo or New Guinea when the large-scale MJO envelope over the surrounding ocean is one of suppressed precipitation. This behaviour can be accommodated into existing MJO theories. Frictional and topographic moisture convergence and relatively clear skies ahead of the main convective envelope combine with the low thermal inertia of the islands, to allow a rapid response in the diurnal cycle which rectifies onto the lower-frequency MJO. Hence, accurate representations of the diurnal cycle and its scale interaction appear to be necessary for models to simulate the MJO successfully.

Altmetric Badge

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/37112
Item Type	Article
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	No Reading authors. Back catalogue items Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Uncontrolled Keywords	equatorial waves; Matsuno-Gill model; MJO propagation mechanism; TRMM
Publisher	Wiley
Download/View statistics	View download statistics for this item

Download Statistics

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

Deposit Details

Date Deposited:	21 Jul 2014 10:26	Date item deposited into CentAUR
Last Modified:	24 Nov 2024 05:36	Date item last modified

References

Batstone CP, Matthews AJ, Stevens DP. 2005. Coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and synoptic-scale variability over the warm pool. J. Climate 18: 2004–2020. Camargo SJ, Wheeler MC, Sobel AH. 2009. Diagnosis of the MJO modulation of tropical cyclogenesis using an empirical index. J. Atmos. Sci. 66: 3061–3074. Cassou C. 2008. Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden-Julian oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Nature 455: 523–527. DOI: 10.1038/nature07286. Chen SS, Houze RA. 1997. Diurnal variation and life-cycle of deep convective systems over the tropical Pacific warm pool. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 123: 357–388. Gill AE. 1980. Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 106: 447–462. GLOBE Task Team. ‘The Global Land One-kilometer Base Elevation (GLOBE) Digital Elevation Model, version 1.0’. 1999. Hastings DA, Dunbar PK, Elphingstone GM, Bootz M, Murakami H, Maruyama H, Masaharu H, Holland P, Payne J, Bryant NA, Logan TL, Muller J-P, Schreier G, MacDonald JS. (eds) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Geophysical Data Center: Boulder, CO, USA. Digital database at http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/topo/globe.html and on CD-ROMs. Gray WM, Jacobson RW. 1977. Diurnal variation of deep cumulus convection. Mon. Weather Rev. 105: 1171–1188. Hendon HH, Salby ML. 1994. The life cycle of the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J. Atmos. Sci. 51: 2225–2237. Hendon HH, Wheeler MC, Zhang C. 2007. Seasonal dependence of the MJO-ENSO relationship. J. Climate 20: 531–543. Huffman GJ, Bolvin DT, Nelkin EJ, Wolff DB, Adler RF, Gu G, Hong Y, Bowman KP, Stocker EF. 2007. The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-global, multiyear, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scales. J. Hydrometeorol. 8: 38–55. Ichikawa H, Yasunari T. 2008. Intraseasonal variability in diurnal rainfall over New Guinea and the surrounding oceans during austral summer. J. Climate. 21: 2852–2868. Kanamitsu M, Ebisuzaki W, Woollen J, Yang S-K, Hnilo JJ, Fiorino M, Potter GL. 2002. NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 83: 1631–1643. Kim B-M, Lim G-H, Kim K-Y. 2006. A new look at the midlatitude–MJO teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 132: 485–503. Kummerow C, Barnes W, Kozu T, Shiue J, Simpson J. 1998. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) sensor package. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. 15: 809–817. Lin J-L, Kiladis GN, Mapes BE, Weickmann KM, Sperber KR, Lin W, Wheeler MC, Schubert SD, Del Genio A, Donner LJ, Emori S, Gueremy J-F, Hourdin F, Rasch PJ, Roeckner E, Scinocca JF. 2006. Tropical intraseasonal variability in 14 IPCC AR4 climate models. Part I: convective signals. J. Climate 19: 2665–2690. Love BS, Matthews AJ, Lister GMS. 2011. The diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Maritime Continent in a high-resolution atmospheric model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137: 934–947. Madden RA, Julian PR. 1971. Detection of a 40–50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci. 28: 702–708. Madden RA, Julian PR. 1972. Description of global-scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40–50 day period. J. Atmos. Sci. 29: 1109–1123. Madden RA, Julian PR. 1994. Observations of the 40–50 day tropical oscillation—a review. Mon. Weather Rev. 122: 814–837. Maloney ED, Hartmann DL. 1998. Frictional moisture convergence in a composite life cycle of the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J. Climate 11: 2387–2403. Maloney ED, Hartmann DL. 2000. Modulation of hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico by the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Science 287: 2002–2004. Matsuno T. 1966. Quasi-geostrophic motions in the equatorial area. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan 44: 25–43. Matthews AJ. 2000. Propagation mechanisms for the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 126: 2637–2651. Mori S, Jun-Ichi H, Iman Tauhid Y, Yamanaka MD, Okamoto N, Murata F, Sakurai N, Hashiguchi H, Sribimawati T. 2004. Diurnal land–sea rainfall peak migration over Sumatera island, Indonesian Maritime Continent, observed by TRMM satellite and intensive rawinsonde soundings. Mon. Weather Rev. 132: 2021–2039. Neale R, Slingo JM. 2003. The Maritime Continent and its role in the global climate: A GCM study. J. Climate 16: 834–848. Nesbitt SW, Zipser EJ. 2003. The diurnal cycle of rainfall and convective intensity according to three years of TRMM measurements. J. Climate 16: 1456–1475. Oh J-H, Kim K-Y, Lim G-H. 2012. Impact of MJO on the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the western Maritime Continent in the austral summer. Clim. Dyn. 38: 1167–1180. Qian J-H. 2008. Why precipitation is mostly concentrated over islands in the Maritime Continent. J. Atmos. Sci. 65: 1428–1441. Ramage CS. 1968. Role of a tropical ‘Maritime Continent’ in the atmospheric circulation. Mon. Weather Rev. 96: 365–370. Rauniyar SP, Walsh KJE. 2011. Scale interaction of the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia: Influence of the MJO. J. Climate 24: 325–348. Simpson J, Keenan TD, Ferrier B, Simpson RH, Holland GJ. 1993. Cumulus mergers in the Maritime Continent region. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 51: 73–99. DOI: 10.1007/BF01080881. Simpson J, Kummerow C, Tao W-K, Adler RF. 1996. On the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM). Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 60: 19–36. DOI: 10.1007/BF01029783. Sperber KR, Slingo JM, Inness PM, Lau WK-M. 1997. On the maintenance and initiation of the intraseasonal oscillation in the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and the GLA and UKMO AMIP simulations. Clim. Dyn. 13: 769–795. Sui C-H, Lau K-M. 1992. Multiscale phenomena in the tropical atmosphere over the western Pacific. Mon. Weather Rev. 120: 407–430. Sui C-H, Li X, Lau K-M, Adamec D. 1997. Multiscale air–sea interactions during TOGA COARE. Mon. Weather Rev. 125: 448–462. Suzuki T. 2009. Diurnal cycle of deep convection in super clusters embedded in the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 114: D22102. DOI: 10.1029/2008JD011303. Tian B, Waliser DE, Fetzer EJ. 2006. Modulation of the diurnal cycle of tropical deep convective clouds by the MJO. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33: L20704. DOI: 10.1029/2006GL027752. Wheeler MC, Hendon HH. 2004. An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction. Mon. Weather Rev. 132: 1917–1932. Wilks DS. 2011. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press. Yang G-Y, Slingo J. 2001. The diurnal cycle in the tropics. Mon. Weather Rev. 129: 784–801. Zhang C. 2005. Madden-Julian oscillation. Rev. Geophys. 43: RG2003. DOI: 10.1029/2004RG000158.

University Staff: Request a correction | Centaur Editors: Update this record

Search Google Scholar