Chaos in foreign exchange markets: a sceptical view

Brooks, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2668-1153 (1998) Chaos in foreign exchange markets: a sceptical view. Computational Economics, 11 (3). pp. 265-281. ISSN 1572-9974 doi: 10.1023/A:1008650024944

Abstract/Summary

This paper tests directly for deterministic chaos in a set of ten daily Sterling-denominated exchange rates by calculating the largest Lyapunov exponent. Although in an earlier paper, strong evidence of nonlinearity has been shown, chaotic tendencies are noticeably absent from all series considered using this state-of-the-art technique. Doubt is cast on many recent papers which claim to have tested for the presence of chaos in economic data sets, based on what are argued here to be inappropriate techniques.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/35988
Identification Number/DOI	10.1023/A:1008650024944
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Henley Business School > Finance and Accounting
Uncontrolled Keywords	Chaos, Nonlinearity, Lyapunov Exponents, Correlation Dimension, Exchange Rates
Publisher	Springer
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