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Development of warm SST errors in the southern tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

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Toniazzo, T. and Woolnough, S. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2014) Development of warm SST errors in the southern tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 43 (11). pp. 2889-2913. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1691-2

Abstract/Summary

SST errors in the tropical Atlantic are large and systematic in current coupled general-circulation models. We analyse the growth of these errors in the region of the south-eastern tropical Atlantic in initialised decadal hindcasts integrations for three of the models participating in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project 5. A variety of causes for the initial bias development are identified, but a crucial involvement is found, in all cases considered, of ocean-atmosphere coupling for their maintenance. These involve an oceanic “bridge” between the Equator and the Benguela-Angola coastal seas which communicates sub-surface ocean anomalies and constitutes a coupling between SSTs in the south-eastern tropical Atlantic and the winds over the Equator. The resulting coupling between SSTs, winds and precipitation represents a positive feedback for warm SST errors in the south-eastern tropical Atlantic.

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Item Type Article
URI https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/31790
Item Type Article
Refereed Yes
Divisions Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > NCAS
Uncontrolled Keywords General-circulation models;Model systematic biases; Ocean–atmosphere coupling;Tropical Atlantic;Tropical circulation;Coastal upwelling systems;Seasonal and decadal prediction;
Publisher Springer
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