Appraiser behaviour and appraisal smoothing: some qualitative and quantitative evidence

McAllister, P., Baum, A., Crosby, N., Gallimore, P. and Gray, A. (2003) Appraiser behaviour and appraisal smoothing: some qualitative and quantitative evidence. Journal of Property Research, 20 (3). pp. 261-280. ISSN 1466-4453 doi: 10.1080/0959991032000162347

Abstract/Summary

There is a substantial literature which suggests that appraisals are smoothed and lag the true level of prices. This study combines a qualitative interview survey of the leading fund manager/owners in the UK and their appraisers with a empirical study of the number of appraisals which change each month within the IPD Monthly Index. The paper concentrates on how the appraisal process operates for commercial property performance measurement purposes. The survey interviews suggest that periodic appraisal services are consolidating in fewer firms and, within these major firms, appraisers adopt different approaches to changing appraisals on a period by period basis, with some wanting hard transaction evidence while others act on "softer' signals. The survey also indicates a seasonal effect with greater effort and information being applied to annual and quarterly appraisals than monthly. The analysis of the appraisals within the Investment Property Databank Monthly Index confirms this effect with around 5% more appraisals being moved at each quarter day than the other months. January and August have significantly less appraisal changes than other months.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/21453
Item Type	Article
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Henley Business School > Real Estate and Planning
Publisher	Routledge
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