A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equilibrium statistics

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Plant, R.S. orcid id iconORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 and Craig, G.C. (2008) A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equilibrium statistics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 65 (1). pp. 87-105. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2007JAS2263.1

Abstract/Summary

A stochastic parameterization scheme for deep convection is described, suitable for use in both climate and NWP models. Theoretical arguments and the results of cloud-resolving models, are discussed in order to motivate the form of the scheme. In the deterministic limit, it tends to a spectrum of entraining/detraining plumes and is similar to other current parameterizations. The stochastic variability describes the local fluctuations about a large-scale equilibrium state. Plumes are drawn at random from a probability distribution function (pdf) that defines the chance of finding a plume of given cloud-base mass flux within each model grid box. The normalization of the pdf is given by the ensemble-mean mass flux, and this is computed with a CAPE closure method. The characteristics of each plume produced are determined using an adaptation of the plume model from the Kain-Fritsch parameterization. Initial tests in the single column version of the Unified Model verify that the scheme is effective in producing the desired distributions of convective variability without adversely affecting the mean state.

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Item Type Article
URI https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/1173
Identification Number/DOI 10.1175/2007JAS2263.1
Refereed Yes
Divisions Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Publisher American Meteorological Society
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