Convenience yield risk

Prokopczuk, M., Symeonidis, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5678-9977, Wese Simen, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4119-3024 and Wichmann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8895-4404 (2023) Convenience yield risk. Energy Economics, 120. 106536. ISSN 1873-6181 doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106536

Abstract/Summary

We develop a framework to quantify the convenience yield risk (CYR) inherent to each commodity futures market. Implementing our approach, we document that our novel CYR measure is informative about future commodity returns. In panel regressions, the CYR predicts future returns with a positive sign. Economically, a strategy that opens long positions in commodity markets with a higher than median CYR signal and sells the remaining commodities yields an average return of 6.93% per year. The performance of the CYR strategy cannot be explained by exposure to existing commodity strategies or other variables that capture changes in the investment opportunity set.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/110663
Item Type	Article
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Henley Business School > Finance and Accounting
Publisher	Elsevier
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