Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop

Dasgupta, A., Arnal, L., Emerton, R., Harrigan, S., Matthews, G., Muhammad, A., O'Regan, K., Pérez-Ciria, T., Valdez, E., van Osnabrugge, B., Werner, M., Buontempo, C., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Pechlivanidis, l. G., Prudhomme, C., Ramos, M.-H. and Salamon, P. (2022) Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop. Journal of Flood Risk Management. e12880. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12880

Abstract/Summary

The unprecedented progress in ensemble hydro-meteorological modelling and forecasting on a range of temporal and spatial scales, raises a variety of new challenges which formed the theme of the Joint Virtual Workshop, "Connecting global to local hydrological modelling and forecasting: challenges and scientific advances”. Held from 29 June to 1 July 2021, this workshop was co-organized by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the Copernicus Emergency Management (CEMS) and Climate Change (C3S) Services, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX), and the Global Flood Partnership (GFP). This paper aims to summarize the state-of-the-art presented at the workshop and provide an early career perspective. Recent advances in hydrological modelling and forecasting, reflections on the use of forecasts for decision-making across scales, and means to minimise new barriers to communication in the virtual format are also discussed. Thematic foci of the workshop included hydrological model development and skill assessment, uncertainty communication, forecasts for early action, co-production of services and incorporation of local knowledge, Earth Observation, and data assimilation. Connecting hydrological services to societal needs and local decision-making through effective communication, capacity-building and co-production was identified as critical. Multidisciplinary collaborations emerged as crucial to effectively bring newly developed tools to practice.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-clone.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/109621
Identification Number/DOI	10.1111/jfr3.12880
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science > Department of Geography and Environmental Science Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Publisher	Wiley-Blackwell
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